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At halfway point, replay reversals soar, coaches’ challenges floored, rookie coaches even more

A look at the replay statistics through Week 8

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2018 replay statistics through Week 8

Reviews initiated by the replay official were fairly high last season, peaking at 43.7 percent, when the four previous seasons were less than 40. Through eight weeks of this season, the replay booth is in uncharted territory — over 50 percent — which might be a signal that replay is confirming more calls under its exclusive jurisdiction without having a formal review or that the replay officials are exercising more discretion in when a call is reviewed. (In at least one case, the replay command center initiated a review for an ejection, under new procedures this year. This is counted as a reversal on the replay booth line.)

Coaches have similarly flipped the script, as they have always been above 40 percent since scoring plays (as of 2011) and turnovers (as of 2012) were removed as part of the challenge system. So far this year, they are treading water at 37.7 percent by comparison.  

Also of note:

  • All first-year head coaches not named Matt Patricia are a combined 0 for 6 in replay reviews, while Patricia has successfully challenged 3 times on 4 plays.
  • Marvin Lewis is perfect for the Bengals on 2 challenges, while Steelers coach Mike Tomlin has yet to win a challenge in 3 tries. Both coaches are on the Competition Commitee. (Tomlin’s last successful challenge was the 2016 Wild Card Playoff game.)
  • Recently fired Browns coach Hue Jackson was 2 for 3 in replay, one of only nine coaches to be over the .500 mark.
  • Anthony Lynn (LAC) has not yet challenged this year.
   Coach       Reversals Challenges Success %
1 Marvin Lewis   CIN 2 2 1.000
   Mike McCarthy   GB 1 1 1.000
   Todd Bowles   NYJ 1 1 1.000
4 Matt Patricia  ¹ DET 3 4 .750
5 John Harbaugh   BAL 2 3 .667
   Hue Jackson † CLE 2 3 .667
   Doug Marrone   JAX 2 3 .667
   Jon Gruden   OAK 2 3 .667
   Pete Carroll   SEA 2 3 .667
— Replay booth    NFL 53 100 .530
10 Kyle Shanahan   SF 2 4 .500
11 Ron Rivera   CAR 1 2 .500
   Bill O’Brien   HOU 1 2 .500
   Andy Reid   KC 1 2 .500
   Bill Belichick   NE 1 2 .500
   Jay Gruden   WAS 1 2 .500
16 Jason Garrett   DAL 1 3 .333
   Sean McVay   LAR 1 3 .333
   Sean Payton   NO 1 3 .333
   Pat Shurmur   NYG 1 3 .333
20 Vance Joseph   DEN 1 4 .250
21 Steve Wilks  ¹ AZ 0 1 .000
   Dan Quinn   ATL 0 1 .000
   Matt Nagy  ¹ CHI 0 1 .000
   Frank Reich  ¹ IND 0 1 .000
   Dirk Koetter   TB 0 1 .000
26 Doug Pederson   PHI 0 2 .000
27 Adam Gase   MIA 0 3 .000
   Mike Zimmer   MIN 0 3 .000
   Mike Tomlin   PIT 0 3 .000
   Mike Vrabel  ¹ TEN 0 3 .000
31 Sean McDermott   BUF 0 5 .000
— Coach’s total       29 77 .377

(2017 final replay statistics) Totals including the replay official: 82/177, .463
 ¹-First-year head coach, not including interim assignments. †-No longer with team. ‡-Interim coach. Source: NFL game statistics, Football Zebras research.

Ben Austro is the editor and founder of Football Zebras and the author of So You Think You Know Football?: The Armchair Ref's Guide to the Official Rules (on sale now)

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